“China’s Tough Battles: Reform, Stability and Development”
2019 China Conference of CEA (UK/Europe)
July 4-5, 2019
Chinese Economic Association (UK/Europe)
Shanghai Lixin University of Accounting and Finance
China Economic Society (North America)
School of Entrepreneurship and Management
393 Middle Huaxia Road, Pudong, Shanghai, 201210
Hanming Fang, ShanghaiTech University & University of Pennsylvania
Ding Lu, ShanghaiTech University
Wenxuan Hou, University of Edinburgh & Shanghai Lixin University of Accounting and Finance
Zheng Song, Chinese University of Hong Kong & ShanghaiTech University
Theme of The Conference
On the government’s agenda, China is at the final stage of fulfilling one of its Two Centenary Goals: i.e. to bring China into “a moderately prosperous society of a higher level” by the time of the Communist Party’s centenary in 2021. To reach this goal, the country is fighting the “three tough battles” – prevention of systematic financial risks, targeted poverty alleviation, and pollution control. In all these fronts, severe and complicated challenges need in-depth, rigorous, and insightful research by economists and business specialists. “China’s Tough Battles: Reform, Stability and Development” is an international conference to address these challenges. The objective of this conference is to present high quality theoretical and empirical academic research on the topics related to the recent business, financial and economic development of China.
Current (2018-2019) CEA (UK) Board
, , , , Yingqi Wei, Hong Bo
Current CEA (Europe) Board
Yuan Li, Dr Jian Chen, Xiaming Liu, Aying Liu, Guy Liu, Xiaolan Fu
The CEA (UK) Advisory Board
Cyril Zhiren Lin
Adrian Wood David Hendry
The CEA (Europe) Advisory Board
Justin Yifu Lin
The Chinese Economic Association
The Chinese Economic Association (UK/Europe) is an independent, not-for-profit research association of scholars, researchers, students and business executives concerned with China's economic development. Its objectives are to advance the knowledge of the general public about economic development in China, and to promote and publish research on the Chinese economy. Activities of the Association include the publication of a quarterly newsletter and occasional discussion papers, and the holding of an annual conference, seminars and workshops. CEA (UK/Europe) encourages research activity and scholarly exchanges between Britain, other European countries and China.
China Economic Association (UK/Europe) was founded in 1988 in London by a group of overseas Chinese economists, some of whom were impactful policy advisors in China’s economic reform-and-opening process in later years. In the past three decades, it has become the largest academic association on studies of the Chinese economy in Europe. CEA holds two conference every year, one in Europe or UK and one in China. ShanghaiTech University is the host of the 2019 CEA’s China Conference.
ShanghaiTech is a young resource-rich university with a modern residential campus in the heart of Shanghai Pudong’s Zhangjiang Hi-Tech Park. With an academic focus on STEAM research, ShanghaiTech is committed to carrying out China’s national development strategy and nurturing the next generation of innovative scientists, inventors and entrepreneurs.
With the backing and support of the Shanghai Municipal Government and China Academy of Science, ShanghaiTech’s five schools and three research institutes seek cutting-edge solutions to address the challenges that China and the world is facing in the fields of energy, material, environment, human health, and artificial intelligence.
ShanghaiTech believes innovation comes from collaboration. Our location a stone's throw away from high-tech R&D labs and the national research facilities of Zhangjiang Hi-Tech Park naturally fosters a collaborative relationship between the university, national research facilities and multi-national industry partners. Through linking innovative research to development and commercialization, ShanghaiTech hopes to play an important role in finding innovative solutions to address China’s most pressing challenges.
ShanghaiTech adopts a student-centered educational approach to nurture future leading scientists, inventors and entrepreneurs who possess in-depth professional knowledge and soft skills. With daily lectures, recreational sports and regular activities, ShanghaiTech provides a well-rounded and stimulating education for its 1200 undergrads and 1500 graduate and PhD students.
·School of Physical Science and Technology
·School of Life Science and Technology
·School of Information Science and Technology
·School of Entrepreneurship and Management
·School of Creativity and Art
·Shanghai Institute for Advanced Immunochemical Studies
·Institute for Mathematical Sciences
School of Entrepreneurship and Management
School of Entrepreneurship and Management is established to meet the needs of China’s economic transformation, and to lead the new era of growth based on innovation and entrepreneurship. SEM is neither a traditional business school, nor a typical school of finance; she is a brand-new, forward-looking school that specializes in entrepreneurship and management. Our mission is to nurture the managerial talents to serve the real economy, and to launch top-notch innovators into successful entrepreneurs.
Transitioning from top innovators to successful entrepreneurs, and from research labs to boardrooms, requires a chain of knowledge in economics and management. SEM’s goal is to provide this chain of knowledge to our innovators, and to become the world's premier business school that is focused on nurturing innovation and entrepreneurship.
Currently, SEM mainly serves ShanghaiTech’s undergraduate and graduate students majoring in science and technology (including life sciences, material sciences and information sciences). SEM’s unique curriculum is aimed to develop the students’ technological expertise, to enlighten their innovative inspiration, to nurture their management capabilities, to stimulate their leadership potential, and to eventually forge entrepreneurial paths. SEM attempts to make creative design, innovation and entrepreneurship integral components of ShanghaiTech’s cultural DNA. SEM also offers advanced training courses in entrepreneurship and management for researchers in R&D facilities and for small and medium businesses. We believe that these training courses will contribute to the transformation of the Chinese economy into a high-quality growth model mainly driven by innovation and entrepreneurship.
On research, we adhere to the motto of “combining theory with empirical evidence” and the principle of dual excellence in research and teaching. We have built a Research Data Center that houses a large collection of data sets as the backbone for a think tank that specializes in theoretically-oriented empirical research based on big data. The aim is to provide evidence-based strategic policy advice, both for Shanghai and China, in their transition to a high-quality economic growth model driven by innovation and entrepreneurship.
Shanghai Lixin University of Accounting and Finance
Shanghai Lixin University of Accounting and Finance was established in 1928 by Pan Xulun, an internationally renowned accountant and educator who is known as the “founding father of modern accounting in China”. The university is the home for 20,000 undergraduate and postgraduate students in 17 schools. SLUAF visions itself as a high-quality, application-oriented university of finance and economics with distinctive features.
The Chinese Economists Society
The Chinese Economists Society (CES) was founded in 1985 at New York City. It is a non-profit professional organization registered in the United States. The aim of the Society is to promote scholarly exchanges among its members and contribute to the advancement and dissemination of economics and management sciences in China.
Over the years, more than 3000 individuals joined the CES from academia, research institutes, and other public or private organizations throughout North America, Asia, Europe, and other parts of the world. CES members have been in leadership positions in government agencies, universities, research institutes, multinational firms, and international institutions including the People’s Bank of China, the World Bank, and IMF. The Society is considered the most influential group that bridges academic exchanges in economics and management sciences between North America and China.
Weiying Zhang is the Sinar Mas Chair Professor of Economics at Peking University’s National School of Development. He is also the chief economist of China Entrepreneurs Forum and the director of the Center for Market and Network Economy of Peking University. Prior to his current role, Zhang served as the head of the Guanghua School of Management at Peking University. Zhang is a frequent media commentator and has appeared in a variety of notable newspapers, including The Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, and The New York Times. In addition to writing for various academic journals, Zhang has authored, coauthored, and edited 18 books. Zhang holds his undergraduate and master’s degree from Northwest University, and his MPhil and PhD from the University of Oxford. Dr. Zhang was the at the Chicago Council on Global Affairs.
Hongbin Li is the James Liang Director of the China Program at the Stanford Center on Global Poverty and Development, and a Senior Fellow of Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR). Hongbin Li obtained Ph.D. in economics from Stanford University in 2001 and joined the economics department of the Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK), where he became full professor in 2007. He was also one of the two founding directors of the Institute of Economics and Finance at the CUHK. He taught at Tsinghua University in Beijing 2007-2016 and was C.V. Starr Chair Professor of Economics in the School of Economics and Management. He also founded and served as the Executive Associate Director of the China Data Center at Tsinghua. He also co-directs the China Enterprise Survey and Data Center at Wuhan University, which conducts the China Employer-Employee Survey (CEES).
Dr. Zongwu Cai is the Charles Oswald Professor of Econometrics and a Professor of Economics at Department of Economics, The University of Kansas. His research interests include econometrics, quantitative finance, risk management, data-analytic modeling, nonlinear and nonstationary time series, and their applications, and among others. His primary research focuses on developing and justifying econometric methodology and applications in economics and finance. Dr. Cai is extensively recognized internationally for his professional and academic achievements, and he has published more than 100 papers in international journals, including many top journals in economics, finance and statistics. Dr. Cai is the Fellow of the American Statistical Association (ASA). Currently, he is the president of the Chinese Economists Society (CES, 2018-2019). Also, he is serving and served as the Associate Editor and the member of the editorial board for several international journals, including but not limit to, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics.
Wing Thye Woo is Distinguished Professor of Economics at University of California in Davis, Director of Jeffrey Sachs Center on Sustainable Development at Sunway University in Kuala Lumpur, and Director of Asian Program at the Center of Sustainable Development of Columbia University in New York City. He also holds academic appointments at Fudan University in Shanghai, Penang Institute in George Town, and Chinese Academy of Social Sciences in Beijing. He is an expert on the East Asian economies, particularly, China, Indonesia and Malaysia. His current research focuses on designing efficient, equitable pathways to achieving the Sustainable Development Goals with projects on Green Finance, Middle Income Trap, and Global Economic Architecture for the Multi-Polar World.
Prof. Yanrui Wu is an economist specializing in development economics, international trade and applied econometric modelling. His research interests include the Chinese and Asian economies, productivity analysis, economic growth, resource and environmental economics. He has published extensively in these fields. His work has appeared in many SSCI-listed journals such as Energy Economics, Energy, Applied Economics, Journal of Comparative Economics, Empirical Economics, China Economic Review, Economics Letters, Pacific Economic Review and Resources Policy. He is the author of several books such as Productive Performance in Chinese Enterprises (Macmillan, 1996), China’s Consumer Revolution (Edward Elgar Publishers, 1999), The Macroeconomics of East Asian Growth (Edward Elgar Publishers, 2002), China’s Economic Growth (Routledge Curzon, 2004), Productivity, Efficiency and Economic Growth in China (Palgrave Macmillan, 2008) and Understanding Economic Growth in China and India (World Scientific Publishing, 2012). Prof Wu is on the editorial board of Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies (Routledge, UK), China Agricultural Economic Review (Emerald, UK) and East Asian Policy (NUS, Singapore). He is also an Associate Editor of China Economic Review (Elsevier) and the General Editor of Advances in Chinese Economic Studies book series published by Edward Elgar Publishers, UK. His teaching interests include international economics, business econometrics and development economics.
Day 1 (July 4)
Opening ceremony 08:30-08:50
Keynote I Weiying Zhang 09:00-09:45
Keynote II Hongbin Li 09:45-10:30
A1 Political Uncertainty and BusinessA2 Human Capital & Education
Keynote III ZongwuCai 13:30-14:15
B1 Housing and Labor Markets
B2 Workers’ Age and Health Care
C1 Causes of China’s Growth Pattern
C2 Strategic Choices for Business
Day 2 (July 5)
Keynote IV WingThye Woo 09:00-09:45
D1 Political Economy
D2 Earnings, Productivity, and Growth
Keynote V YanruiWu 13:00-13:45
E1 Spill-over and InnovationE2 Stock Market
Day 1 (July 4)
Weiying Zhang (Peking University): The Power of Ideas and the Chinese Economic Reform as an Evolutionary Process
Hongbin Li (Stanford University): Education and Entrepreneurship
A1 Political Uncertainty and Business SEM 107
Chair：Zheng Song (ShanghaiTech University)
Xiaoman Duan (Sam Houston State University), Wenbin Cao (NEOMA Business School), Vahap B. Uysal
Economic Policy Uncertainty and Capital Structure Choices
Wei Yu (Shanghai University of International Business and Economics), Ying Zheng Political Uncertainty, Government Incentives, and the Stock Market during China’s Two Sessions
Meng Zheng (The Open University of Hong Kong), Liang Shao, Gordon Y.N.Tang, Long Yi
Political Freedom, Economic Freedom, and Corporate Investment
A2 Human Capital & Education SEM 108
Chair: Jianfeng Xu (ShanghaiTech University)
Yan Song (Jinan University), Kentaro Tomoeda, Xiaoyu Xia
Sophistication and Cautiousness in College Applications
Shuangxin Wang (The Chinese University of Hong Kong), Naijia Guo, Zhao Rong
Direct and Spillover Effects of Free Compulsory Education on Schooling and Migration
Wei Si (ShanghaiTech University)
Does Higher Education Empower Women? Evidence from China's Higher Education Expansion
Zongwu Cai (University of Kansas): Partially Conditional Quantile Treatment Effect Models
B1 Housing and Labor Markets SEM 107
Chair: Yujin Kim (ShanghaiTech University)
Yang Yang (The Chinese University of Hong Kong), Sumit Agarwal, Weida Kuang, Long Wang
Yin-Yang Contracts in China's Housing Market
Wenjing Duan (Hunan University), Pedro S. Martins
Rent Sharing in China: Magnitude, Heterogeneity and Drivers
Yang Wang (Beijing Normal University-Hong Kong Baptist University), Mei Yu, Simon Gao
Gender Diversity and Financial Statement Fraud
B2 Workers’ Age and Health Care SEM 108
Chair: Chen Chen ((ShanghaiTech University)
Weisi Xie (Shanghai Jiao Tong University), Shaoqing Huang
Competition-Driven Career Concerns with Multi-task Assignments and Age Effects: Theory and Evidence
Gan Xu (Wuhan University), Yang Zhou, Jingwen Yu
Early-Life Experience and Financial Risk Taking: Evidence from the 1959-1961 Famine in China
Hanming Fang (ShanghaiTech University), Xiaoyan Lei, Julie Shi, Lisa Xuejie Yi
Induced Medical Demand: Evidence from a Natural Experiment in China
C1 Causes of China’s Growth Pattern SEM 107
Chair: Suting Hong (ShanghaiTech University)
Qingping Ma (Nottingham University Business School China)
Factors Underlying China’s Rapid Economic Growth and Their Implied Future Challenges for China
Weidi Yuan (University of Geneva), Difei Ouyang
China Syndrome Redux: New Results on Global Labor Reallocation
Jun Feng (Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)
Economic Growth and Human Capital Structure: Based on New Structural Economics
Ninghua Zhong (Tongji University), Muyang Zhang, Feng Wang
Gathering Strengths for Economic Growth like China
C2 Strategic Choices for Business SEM 108
Chair: Soojin Kim (ShanghaiTech University)
Yuchen Shao (Nanjing University), Sugata Marjit
Strategic Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) when Local Firms Face Credit Constraints
Yi Li (St.Gallen University, Switzerland)
Understanding China Sovereign Credit Default Swap
Sophie X. Kong (Western Washington University), Aimin Zeng, Changluan Fu
Could Buddha Improve Internal Control and Reduce Restatement? Evidence from China
Long Wang (ShanghaiTech University), Yang Yang, Hanming Fang
Competition and Quality Gains: New Evidence from the High Speed Rails and Airlines
Day 2 (July 5)
Wing Thye Woo (UC Davis): Domestic New Normal meets International New Normal: What is to be done?
D1 Political Economy SEM 107
Chair: Jianfeng Xu (ShanghaiTech University)
Shiqi Guo (The Graduate Institute, Geneva), Nan Gao, Pinghan Liang
Winter Is Coming: Early-life Experiences and Politicians’ Decisions
Zihua Liu (Hong Kong Polytechnic University), Xiaping Cao, Wenlian Lin, Sili Zhou Political Favoritism towards Resource Allocation, Evidence of Grants by Natural Science Foundation of China
Jianan Lu (University of Edinburgh Business School), Wenxuan Hou, Brian G.M.Main Financial Development and the Lingering Effect of the Cultural Revolution: Trust or Risk Preference?
Ding Lu (ShanghaiTech University) Role of Local Governments’ Fiscal Behavior in Allocation of China’s Centrally Funded Investment Across Regions
D2 Earnings, Productivity, and Growth SEM 108
Chair: Chen He (ShanghaiTech University)
Jingwen Yang (Bangor College China), Danial Hemmings, Aziz Jaafar, Richard H.G. Jackson
Real Earnings Management in European Private and Public Firms
Peiyao Shen (ShanghaiTech University)
Does Green Matter? Environmental Management and Firm Performance in China
Zhiyuan Li (Fudan University), Gaosheng Ju
Total Factor Productivity Estimation without Control Functions
Linda Glawe (University of Hagen), Helmut Wagner
The Role of Institutional Quality and Human Capital for Economic Growth across Chinese Provinces – a Dynamic Panel Data Approach
Yanrui Wu (University of Western Australia): Environmental Regulation and Export Product Quality? Evidence from Chinese Firms
E1 Spillovers and Innovation SEM 107
Chair: Jean Dai(ShanghaiTech University)
Xiao Wang (University of Science and Technology of China), Yiqing Xie
The Gravity of Intermediate Inputs in Productivity Spillovers: Evidence from Foreign Direct Investment in China
Shusen Qi (Xiamen University), Kent N. Hui, G. Tomas M. Hult
Inter-industry FDI Spillovers from Foreign Banks: Evidence in Follower Countries
Lichao Wu, Yingqi Wei (Leeds University Business School), Chengang Wang How Does FDI Impact on Innovation in China and India: A Critical Review and Research Agenda
Xiyi Yang (ShanghaiTech University), Kevin Amess, Kun Jiang
Property Rights and Firm Innovate: Evidence from the Special Economic Zone Policy in China
E2 Stock Market SEM 108
Chair: Qiao Yang (ShanghaiTech University)
Hang Zhou (University of Edinburgh), Rong Ding, Yuxin Sun
Private In-House Meeting and Stock Crash Risk: Evidence from China
Mo Zhang (University of Southern Denmark)
Impact of Short Selling on the Chinese Stock Mispricing
Xiaozhou Zhou (Université du Québec à Montréal), Georges Dionne
Information Environments, Informed Trading, and Price Efficiency
Chengbo Fu (University of Northern British Columbia), Gady Jacoby, Lei Lu
Idiosyncratic Volatility Spread and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns